Prediction

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Nate Silver and the Addiction to Prediction August 26, 2024

In the lead-up to the 2008 election, Nate Silver revolutionized the way we talk about politics, bringing cold, hard, numerical facts to a world that had been dominated by the gut feelings of reporters and opinion columnists. Sixteen years later, he r...

We Are the Borg August 22, 2024

In the fall of 2014, an MIT cognitive scientist named Tomaso Poggio predicted that humankind was at least 20 years away from building computers that could interpret images on their own. Doing so, declared Poggio, “would be one of the most intellectua...

The Best Sci-Fi Books of 2024 (So Far) August 19, 2024

The opening page of Malka Older’s new book says simply, “There are other ways to live.” That idea carries through so many of this year’s best science-fiction books, which are full of questions about how we might live differently with one another, on ...

Nate Silver Knows Who Will Win August 14, 2024

It’s a gray and muggy Sunday afternoon, and Nate Silver had just a few hours earlier republished his widely followed election model. After months of Trump’s being ahead, Kamala Harris was his new front-runner with a 52.8 percent chance of victory. No...

The American Man Is the Problem August 08, 2024

A couple of years ago, I started writing about the lack of masculine fiction in the literary scene, and predictably, I was lambasted and called all manner of names by the enlightened literati. I was labelled a bro, a beast, and even a misogynist for ...